Opinion depot

Showing posts with label Ethiopia. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Ethiopia. Show all posts

Who owns change?

Ethiopian early birrImage via WikipediaBy Tadesse Tegegn

Summing up the recent developments in the Ethiopian politics, one can say it is a hell of events that carried a bundle of messages about which way the country is heading. It seems like a turn of a greatly deserving chapter whose subsequent pages tend to be heavily laden with yet another revolutionary tide that may change the course that we have been accustomed in the last 20 years.

If we look at the root causes of the current economic shortfalls, you may well agree it may have started with the sudden currency devaluation the Ethiopian ruling party passed. The measure may have stunned many, but the consequence of not doing so, may also be  hard to imagine. Many may have been expecting some form of  devaluation, but not at the magnitude of a whole 17% in one day. In many advanced countries this kind of grandiose move can only be a recipe for disaster. But in Ethiopia it has proven to be possible. For how long? It is yet to be seen. The turn of events since then, however have been gradually encroaching to connect all the emerging economic problems to the devaluation of Birr.  It looks like, as a vulnerable group, the poor have been affected the most. First the food prices started climbing, resulting in the concerns of the people pouring into the streets and the media. The government had to take a swift move in fixing this destabilizing trend in its infancy, as the North African revolts, mainly due to the sudden jump of food prices, are giving a good reason to believe they may soon come home. The prices of items were given a ceiling beyond which merchants can’t ask; salaries were raised and commercial wholesalers were held accountable for their greedy attempts to unfairly collect too much profit at the expense of the consumers that have no other alternatives. According to the government spokesperson, the price limit was designed for the suppliers to make no more than 4-6% profit. This may be news you have already known. But have you realized its impact in the country’s politics?  Economists have been predicting the well talked about measure will bring shortages of products and it very well did. In an apparent struggle to counter this trend, the regime has started to import and sell food and other items directly to the consumers, in what looks like we are back to the communist era. It reminds me of a saying about how history can repeat itself. Wait a minute; the regime is not by any means communist; they abandoned it just about 20 years ago.  So where has this policy of government interfering with free trade and long lines of consumers forming in the government supply (rationing?)chains around the country has come from? Oh, how smart, they already said it is a short term measure. Ok; good luck with recruiting a new generation of selfless sellers that go beyond their interests - their country. Hopefully it is not going to take too long; only in Ethiopia. I wouldn’t be surprised, like everything else, if this wild guess also works. At least there is a form of (revolutionary) democracy in Ethiopia.

What else can I say? The whole reason behind this development is the fact that the merchants refused to sell their items with the limited profit the government passed as a “temporary” law. Let’s look at it very closely. First there was a humongous devaluation of the Birr, then, there was the inevitable inflation that was only meant to be a short term phenomenon but brought about its own garbage of the merchants trying to take advantage of it. Then the regime intervened. For how long no one knows?
Now I tried to stop and think. Think about what has been happening in the last week or so. After the prime minister’s Historic speech and introduction of the Nile Dam initiative that will cost about $5B, there has been a feverish epidemic among the population to finance it solely by buying the newly released bonds as investment, savings and contribution to this nationally important project. The government sent its delegations to various European and North American cities to solicit support. I have been observing the unusually dumb character of the so called Diaspora opposition group but never as dumb as this time. Have they lost their mind and civility? Is it self-serving or self defeating? They wanted to storm meetings. They said shame on you, this time without mentioning names. They did everything they could to disrupt the meetings. What they forgot was the importance the Ethiopian people gave for this historic project. It is one thing to protest against the regime. It is quite the opposite to assume the country should stop planning and even functioning unless the current regime yields power, all from the comfort of the western life style. I have never seen such a counter-productive movement.

Then I thought how valuable these people would have been for a healthy opposition, if they could focus on a disciplined and challenging opposition, that would ring the bell for the people to think there is an alternative to all this. And I thought, if Prime Minister Meles Zenawi, as usual, singlehandedly passes an invitation for all to come and participate in the building of the new and inclusive democracy that involves all and for all to contribute by lifting the ban on free speech and the media as a whole and tell them to do everything they have been doing overseas in the home land, will this courageous move pour cold water on their anger filled vengeance? I asked myself what if? And I answered to myself nothing as bad as the current bitterness would be observed, if every ban is lifted overnight. Nothing at all, because change belongs to people and they know very well how to make ends meet, however confusing it may seem. If this sounds like an open letter to the Prime Minister, so be it.

Tiya stelae of Ethiopia

TiyaImage via Wikipedia


  Tiya stelae of Ethiopia

Egypt says "amazed" by Ethiopia's Nile remarks

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Ethiopian PM eyes Chinese, Indian investment boost

Meskal Square, Addis Ababa, EthiopiaImage via Wikipedia

By Barry Malone
ADDIS ABABA (Reuters) - Ethiopia is hoping to attract more investment from Chinese, Indian and Turkish companies as part of efforts to industrialise its largely agriculture-based economy, Prime Minister Meles Zenawi said.
Though still one of the world's poorest countries, Ethiopia says it has posted double-digit growth rates for six years in a row making it Africa's fastest growing non-oil producer.
"Our hope is that industry will grow faster than agriculture over the next five years," Meles told Reuters in an interview. "We will maintain an export-led industrialisation strategy. The main approach will be to try to attract investment."
Meles said his government would target Chinese, Indian and Turkish firms who wanted to invest in the country's fledgling textile and leather industries.
"We expect more investment from Turkey," Meles said. "We also expect more investment in the textile sector from Indian companies. In the leather industry, a lot of Chinese companies have shown an interest. Some Europeans, too."
Ethiopia's new five-year plan, unveiled in August, predicts a "base-case" scenario of 11 percent average annual growth and a "high-case scenario" of 14.9 percent growth for the period.
Meles said the economy would grow this year at between the 11 percent predicted by his finance ministry and a more ambitious 15 percent.
Ethiopia is Africa's biggest coffee exporter and the world's fourth largest exporter of sesame. It is also one of Africa's biggest potential markets -- with a population of 80 million -- and most of its people have no telephones or bank accounts.
But Meles stood firm on his long-held position that there would be no liberalisation of telecommunications or banking.
Despite that, the 55-year-old said he hoped talks for Ethiopia to enter the World Trade Organisation, would finish soon: "The negotiations are beginning to pick up momentum now."
The former rebel said foreign reserves, which fell to $850 million earlier in 2009, had recovered on booming exports.
POWER PLANS
He dismissed concerns that a 16.7 percent devaluation of the Ethiopian birr, the fourth since January 2009, could spur inflation. The year-on-year inflation rate hit 10.6 percent in October -- way over the government's target of single figures.
"The impact of the devaluation programme is going to be a one-off affair because the massive devaluation was a one-off affair. So we believe the average yearly inflation rate will be in the range of 6-7 percent this year," Meles said.
Inflation in Ethiopia hit a high of 64.2 percent in July 2008. After that peak, the government halted state borrowing and increased bank reserves to drive down the rate and it had been in single digits this year until after the devaluation.
Meles said that power shedding -- which the government says cost the Ethiopian economy 1.1 percent of gross domestic product last year -- should end when a hydroelectric dam that suffered a tunnel collapse is repaired in three months.
Ethiopia, with ambitions to generate 10,000MW, is building Africa's biggest hydropower dam and Meles said the country could become a power exporter within two years.
"I think by the end of the five-year plan we'll be very significant exporters but we should start exporting in a year or two," he said. "Djibouti will probably the first country to get power supply from Ethiopia."
Meles rejected claims from the opposition and some foreign analysts that his government inflates growth figures to attract investment.
"Our economic growth is evaluated very carefully by the IMF and they have never said that we have cooked the outturn figures," Meles said. "They have accepted them as facts. And cooking figures is a very dangerous thing to do."


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Ethiopian PM says EU election report is "trash"

Ethiopian Prime Minister Meles Zenawi, left, a...Image via Wikipedia

By Barry Malone
ADDIS ABABA (Reuters) - Ethiopian Prime Minister Meles Zenawi has dismissed as "trash that deserves to be thrown in the garbage" a European Union (EU) report that criticised his overwhelming May election victory.
Meles' ruling Ethiopian People's Revolutionary Democratic Front (EPRDF) and allied parties won 545 seats in the 547-member parliament in a vote that was also criticised by the United States.
"The report is not about our election. It is just the view of some Western neo-liberals who are unhappy about the strength of the ruling party," Meles told state television as he returned from the G20 summit late on Sunday. "Anybody who has paper and ink can scribble whatever they want."
Ethiopia is a key U.S. and European ally in the volatile Horn of Africa, where its secular government is seen as a bulwark against Islamic extremism.
The country's biggest opposition coalition, the eight-party Medrek, won just a single parliamentary seat. Medrek and the smaller All Ethiopia Unity Party (AEUP) demanded a rerun, alleging pre-poll intimidation and some vote rigging.
The calls were rejected by the country's electoral board and Supreme Court.
OPPOSITION DISADVANTAGE
The EU observer mission's report said the poll was marred by the EPRDF's use of state resources, putting the opposition at a disadvantage, and that freedom of expression and movement was not "consistently respected".  "The electoral process fell short of international commitments for elections, notably regarding the transparency of the process and the lack of a level playing field for all contesting parties," the 87-page report said.
Europe's chief observer for the election, Thijs Berman, says he was refused a visa to present the report in Ethiopia. The government denies that.
Ethiopia's last elections in 2005 damaged its reputation and hampered investment when the opposition disputed the result and street riots erupted in capital Addis Ababa, killing 193 protestors and seven policemen.
At the time, the government accused Europe's then chief observer of being biased in favour of the opposition and of helping to incite the trouble.


8,000 Falashmura to make aliyah - Israel News, Ynetnews




After years of waiting in transition camps, thousands of Jews from Falashmura denomination in Ethiopia will be brought to Israel. 'We have moral obligation to end humanitarian crisis,' prime minister says
Yael Branovsky
Published: 11.14.10, 16:27 / Israel News

The government has agreed on Sunday to bring the approximately 8,000 Falashmura Jews who remain in transition camps in Gondar, Ethiopia to Israel over the next four years.
"These are the seeds of Israel – men, women and children – that currently find themselves in the worst living conditions," Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said during a Knesset meeting. "This really is the case of a complex humanitarian crisis. We must prevent the emergence of additional refugee camps in Ethiopia."
Jewish Rights
Rally: Not authorizing Falashmura aliyah crime against Zionism / Yael Branovsky
Hundreds of Ethiopian-Israelis gather in Jerusalem to protest delay in issuing of immigration permits to thousands of Falashmura waiting in Ethiopian transit camp. Minister Steinitz: This isn't about skin color
Full Story
Netanyahu told the ministers that 600 Falashmura members will come to Israel as soon as next year, and in the three years that follow 200 Falashmuras will make the move each month. "It is our moral obligation as the Israeli people to find a solution," Netanyahu said.
As per the government decision, there will be no additional organized aliyah of Falashmura members once this project is completed. Moreover, no one claiming to be Falashmura member will be granted the right for aliyah. Entrance to Israel will be allowed on an individual basis, in accordance with the Law of Return and the Interior Minister's decision.
200 immigrants will make aliyah each month (Archive Photo: AFP)

'Cannot let it become a historic crime'

Immigrant Absorption Minister Sofa Landver welcomed the measure, which was put together by the director-general of the Prime Minister's Office, Eyal Gabay, in collaboration with various organizations that have been petitioning for the step for years. "This is a historic decision, but we must make sure that it comes with budgetary support and with all the necessary solutions," he said. "It cannot become a historic crime."
Regional Development Minister Silvan Shalom, however, said that the proposal is unsatisfactory. "This is a scandal that must be stopped," he said. "We should bring 1,000 Falashmura members to Israel every month, and bring an end to the saga where thousands of people live in terrible conditions."
There are 7,846 Falashmura members who are candidates for aliyah. As per the decision, the Interior Ministry will examine their eligibility and give them a final answer by August 2011. To be found eligible a candidate must have had a Jewish mother, must desire to return to Judaism in Israel and must have been registered in an official list from 2007 of Falashmura waiting in transition camps. Falashmura members who are already living Israel can request their relatives to be brought to Israel within three months.
Falashmura rallying in Jerusalem in July. (Photo: Guy Asayag)

'We saw their suffering'

"We have experience with government decisions," said Knesset Member Shlomo Molla (Kadima), who supported the measure. "This project will not only put the government's decision-making to the test, but also the execution of these decisions. After many years of evasion, the agency has taken responsibility."
Molla described his experience as the head of a delegation to Ethiopia a year ago. "We saw the distress that people face, and their suffering and the suffering of their families," he said. "The fact that it will take three years to bring them here is ridiculous, and I hope that the government will shorten the unbearable waiting period."
Members of the South Wing to Zion, an organization advocating for Ethiopean Jews, welcomed the decision and called it a "historic justice." A representative of the Public Committee for Ethiopian Jewry stated that "this is a moral, Jewish, human and Zionist decision of the highest order, which comes to complete the aliyah from Ethiopia and bring justice to the Jewish brothers who are pleading to return and connect with the Jewish people in their country."


Ethiopia rejects 'biased' EU report on May's elections


Coat of arms of EthiopiaImage via Wikipedia
The Ethiopian government has rejected as biased the findings of a European Union report on May's parliamentary elections.
The EU concluded that the polls failed to meet international standards 
and were marred by serious flaws.
However, the Ethiopian foreign ministry said the EU's election observer mission had itself failed to meet Ethiopian or international standards.
It added that the report was flawed and based on preconceived ideas.
"This report amounts to yet another biased political indictment against the democratization process in Ethiopia and the victimisation of the country," said the ministry in a statement.
It accused the EU of "excessive focus" on the fact that the elections further consolidated the power of the governing EPRDF party.
The ministry says this demonstrated that the mission was "primarily preoccupied with the results of the elections and fate of the ruling party rather than the actual conduct of the elections".
In May, the EPRDF trounced the opposition, with only one opposition MP elected to the 536-seat parliament.
The ministry also accused the EU of succumbing to pressure from the rights group Human Rights Watch (HRW).
Last month, HRW issued a report accusing the government of withholding aid from opposition supporters.
Aid
The EU report was released in Brussels earlier this month after the head of the mission was refused a visa to travel to Addis Ababa.
An African Union observer mission found that the polls broadly reflected the will of the Ethiopian people.
Relations between the EU and Ethiopia soured in the aftermath of 2005 elections when the government accused the then chief observer of siding with the opposition and contributing to violent protests that ensued.
The EU, one of Ethiopia's biggest donors, froze its aid to the country. Normal relations and financial support have since resumed.
The BBC's Uduak Amimo in Addis Ababa says it remains unclear what impact the EU report will have on aid and ties with the Ethiopian government.


Ethiopia: Final Report on the House of People's Representatives and State Council Elections

European Union (Brussels)
10 November 2010


document
The executive summary of the final report of the European Union's Election Observation Mission to the 2010 House of People's Representatives and State Council elections in Ethiopia:
Coat of arms of EthiopiaImage via Wikipedia
The 23 May 2010 elections were held in a generally peaceful environment, as unanimously called for by all stakeholders. The relatively quiet election campaign by both the opposition and the incumbent, the Ethiopian People's Revolutionary Democratic Front (EPRDF), grew in intensity in the very last stages of the campaign. Although, the National Electoral Board of Ethiopia (NEBE) largely managed the electoral process in an efficient and competent manner, its handling of the consolidation process was less praiseworthy. The electoral authorities failed to dispel the opposition parties' lack of trust in their independence. While several positive improvements were introduced since the 2005 elections, there were negative developments in the practical application of the legal and electoral framework. As a result, the electoral process fell short of international commitments for elections, notably regarding the transparency of the process and the lack of a level playing field for all contesting parties. Insufficient efforts were taken to ensure a more equitable and representative electoral process.
The Ethiopian Constitution and legal framework provided an adequate basis for the conduct of genuine elections in line with international and regional commitments subscribed to by Ethiopia. The Constitution, Electoral Law and other election-related regulations protect political and civil rights and allow for genuine elections, as well as the freedoms of association, assembly, movement and expression. However, the practical implementation of some laws and regulations regarding elections deviated in certain cases from the principles underlying these commitments. The electoral process was therefore constrained, as was the full, non-discriminatory, enjoyment of fundamental rights.
The changes in the legal framework together with the fragmentation of the main opposition forces in the aftermath of the 2005 elections, as well as the imprisonment of leading opposition figures and the departure in exile of one opposition leader, resulted in a cumulative narrowing of the political space within the country. The ruling party's presence throughout the country was unrivalled by opposition parties, especially in rural areas which house up to 80% of the Ethiopian population.
The NEBE registered 31,926,520 voters for the 2010 elections, out of approximately 37 million eligible citizens according to its own projections. This reflected a relatively inclusive register that included around 5 million more voters than in 2005. Voter registration was carried out in just six weeks, which is a relatively short period. Voter registration took place before the deployment of the EU EOM and was therefore not directly observed by the Mission. The lack of a centralised and computerised national voter register did not allow for any checks for multiple registrations or any audits.
The number of complaints of campaign violations, harassment and intimidation -including cases of violence- voiced primarily by opposition parties and, to a much lesser extent, by the ruling party, increased in the last weeks of the campaign. The volume and consistency of complaints against the ruling party, local administrations and in some cases the police was a matter of concern that must be taken into account in the overall assessment of the electoral process. Beyond the repeated calls for peaceful elections, greater measures to limit possible harassment and intimidation could have been taken by the government and all political parties.
The freedoms of assembly, of expression and of movement were not consistently respected throughout the country during the campaign period, generally to the detriment of opposition parties. All parties favoured door-to-door canvassing, although some rallies were held -mainly by the EPRDF. Campaign activities were generally focused on the last week of the campaign, given most parties' lack of funds.
The separation between the ruling party and the public administration was blurred at the local level in many parts of the country. The EU EOM directly observed cases of misuse of state resources in the ruling party's campaign activities. The role of the kebele's (administrative unit that comprises rural communities or urban neighbourhoods) which are used to good avail in the development of local communities should be gradually reduced in the electoral process to prevent these situations from occurring. This could also help to increase the level of trust of opposition parties in the process. Even taking into account the inherent advantages of the incumbency, the Mission considers that the playing field for the 2010 elections was not sufficiently balanced, leaning heavily in favour of the ruling party in many areas.
The NEBE decided to retain exclusive competence in the field of voter education. The EU EOM considers that the voter information provided by the NEBE was generally insufficient and that too often, political parties and local administrations were the main exponents of voter education in rural parts of the country. The exclusion of civil society organisations from voter education, together with the new and more restrictive Ethiopian Charities and Societies Law, limited the potential role of local organisations in the electoral process.
The provisions for complaints related to voting, counting and consolidation were significantly strengthened in the last five years. Nonetheless, the EU EOM considers that further measures must be implemented to ensure that they provide the opportunity for effective legal remedy on election-related complaints, in light of opposition parties' lack of confidence in the independence and neutrality of the judiciary and the police. Additionally, the channels for complaint adjudication should be rationalised to avoid that offences go unpunished.
The NEBE announced provisional results less than 48 hours after polling stations closed, thanks to a parallel system of communication allowing for the aggregation of polling station results at the national level. The consolidation process at constituency level was considered very problematic according to EU EOM observers. In 27% of cases observed, polling station results were different to those previously recorded by observers at polling stations. In several cases, incomplete or incorrect forms from polling stations were corrected or completed at constituency electoral offices. The transparency of the process was considered unsatisfactory in 40% of observed cases. Certain essential forms for the correct transmission of results to the national level were not filled in numerous constituencies.
The ruling party and its partner parties won 544 of the 547 seats to the HPR and all but four of the 1,904 seats in the State Councils. The participation rate was of 93.4%. An independent European Union Election Observation Mission to Ethiopia 2010 candidate and a candidate from one of the main opposition coalitions, the Ethiopian Federal Democratic Unity Forum (Medrek) won seats to the HPR. A candidate from a relatively smaller party, the Argoba People's Democratic Organisation (APDO), won the third seat. The APDO won three State Council seats. The All Ethiopian Unity Party (AEUP) won one State Council seat. The results indicate that the EPRDF has a practically absolute control over both the lower legislative chamber and the State Councils.
• Measures are necessary to increase the participation and capacity of opposition parties, as well as the broadening of political space in Ethiopia. The return of exiled opposition leaders as well as the release of imprisoned opposition leaders would be important steps in this direction, restoring confidence in the democratic process. The financing of political parties and of election campaigns could be reviewed together with the implementation of capacity-building programmes for political parties, their members and their candidates.
• Steps should be taken to ensure a clear separation between the ruling party and the state and to avoid the misuse of state resources during the campaign. The NEBE should be provided with sufficient resources to reduce the need to resort to local administrative structures in electoral activities gradually, with a view to create an independent and trustworthy election management body. This would help to prevent the occurrence of abuses of power and use of state resources at the local level. Furthermore, this measure could improve the level of confidence of many opposition parties in the electoral process.

EU Mission Releases Report on Ethiopia's Election

• The voter register should be computerised for future electoral processes to allow for the implementation of essential safeguards to ensure its accuracy, as well as greater transparency by providing copies of the voter register to all political parties. The NEBE could consider the creation of a permanent and national voter register.
• The NEBE should take measures to increase the transparency of the electoral process and improve the perception that some opposition parties have of its impartiality. These measures should include publishing and communicating all electoral information to the contesting parties. The NEBE should also review some Election Day procedures, notably the design of forms and the training provided to polling station staff and constituency electoral officers to improve the consolidation process.

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